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Red375
4384153.8
3414144.1
999993.1
Blue277
1718177.5
152895.2
3322131.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26332802004006008001,000375277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4384
#12
153.80.7
151.4150.8
Auto23.7
Teleop116.6
End11.5
blue by 23.6
177.50.8
174.6173.8
Auto20.3
Teleop127.6
End28.2
Second
3414
#18
144.10.8
143.9144.7
Auto16.2
Teleop113.6
End14.5
red by 12.9
3322
#21
131.31.0
141.7140.7
Auto16.8
Teleop99.9
End18.2
Third
9999
#23
93.14.7
95.490.7
Auto12.0
Teleop74.8
End8.9
blue by 2.1
1528
#22
95.22.9
106.0103.0
Auto15.3
Teleop75.5
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed21%Face the Boss oddsEarned