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Red101
51149.7
226156.8
3322131.3
Blue398
4384153.8
2834193.8
3641179.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2814050100200500600101398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#9
156.82.5
175.4172.9
Auto19.8
Teleop120.8
End16.2
blue by 37.1
193.80.0
184.6184.6
Auto23.4
Teleop147.1
End25.8
Second
51
#11
149.70.4
155.7155.3
Auto18.7
Teleop112.7
End19.0
blue by 29.9
179.70.7
189.7188.9
Auto21.6
Teleop141.9
End14.2
Third
3322
#21
131.30.5
140.7140.2
Auto16.8
Teleop99.9
End18.2
blue by 22.6
4384
#12
153.80.6
150.8151.3
Auto23.7
Teleop116.6
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsMissed80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss oddsMissed28%Face the Boss oddsEarned