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Red278
5530151.0
4130150.7
68152.6
Blue394
1504130.0
9988137.8
3538206.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions316312200250350400450278394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#8
152.61.6
155.7154.1
Auto23.4
Teleop106.0
End21.5
blue by 53.4
206.01.3
208.4207.1
Auto20.4
Teleop162.9
End25.7
Second
5530
#13
151.00.2
161.8161.6
Auto18.8
Teleop117.1
End14.3
red by 13.2
137.83.3
102.2105.5
Auto17.9
Teleop103.3
End16.6
Third
4130
#17
150.71.4
156.6155.2
Auto17.5
Teleop111.1
End22.8
red by 20.7
1504
#16
130.02.4
140.2137.8
Auto19.6
Teleop99.2
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed