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Red195
4395141.2
2834193.8
818136.1
Blue445
4384153.8
3538206.0
27213.3
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2644310100200300500600700800195445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193.81.7
185.1186.8
Auto23.4
Teleop147.1
End25.8
blue by 19.5
27
#3
213.31.9
207.0208.9
Auto25.9
Teleop160.9
End24.9
Second
4395
#14
141.20.5
145.5145.0
Auto17.0
Teleop112.9
End13.4
blue by 64.7
206.00.9
206.9206.0
Auto20.4
Teleop162.9
End25.7
Third
818
#15
136.10.9
138.3139.2
Auto18.7
Teleop105.5
End13.2
blue by 17.8
4384
#12
153.80.8
152.3153.1
Auto23.7
Teleop116.6
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed51%Face the Boss oddsMissed