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Red202
4395141.2
999993.1
3322131.3
Blue451
548153.6
3538206.0
5530151.0
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1654250100200300500600202451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4395
#14
141.21.6
143.7142.1
Auto17.0
Teleop112.9
End13.4
blue by 64.7
206.01.0
205.2204.2
Auto20.4
Teleop162.9
End25.7
Second
3322
#21
131.31.5
135.3133.8
Auto16.8
Teleop99.9
End18.2
blue by 22.3
548
#10
153.61.3
145.6146.9
Auto17.5
Teleop116.2
End19.9
Third
9999
#23
93.10.1
88.788.6
Auto12.0
Teleop74.8
End8.9
blue by 57.9
5530
#13
151.00.7
160.0159.3
Auto18.8
Teleop117.1
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
1%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsEarned