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Red390
3538206.0
3668167.4
548153.6
Blue202
1718177.5
5530151.0
999993.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4122750200600800390202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
206.00.4
212.5212.1
Auto20.4
Teleop162.9
End25.7
red by 28.5
177.50.0
176.7176.7
Auto20.3
Teleop127.6
End28.2
Second
167.41.3
165.7167.0
Auto21.8
Teleop124.6
End22.2
red by 16.4
5530
#13
151.00.3
165.1164.8
Auto18.8
Teleop117.1
End14.3
Third
548
#10
153.60.6
149.1148.5
Auto17.5
Teleop116.2
End19.9
red by 60.5
9999
#23
93.10.6
101.2101.8
Auto12.0
Teleop74.8
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest oddsMissed56%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
31%Face the Boss oddsMissed29%Face the Boss oddsMissed