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Red117
999090.5
4395141.2
3414144.1
Blue395
2834193.8
4130150.7
226156.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2364020100200300500600700117395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3414
#18
144.10.1
147.8147.8
Auto16.2
Teleop113.6
End14.5
blue by 49.7
193.81.5
188.3189.8
Auto23.4
Teleop147.1
End25.8
Second
4395
#14
141.20.5
141.0141.5
Auto17.0
Teleop112.9
End13.4
blue by 15.5
226
#9
156.81.7
161.3159.6
Auto19.8
Teleop120.8
End16.2
Third
9990
#24
90.51.6
90.692.2
Auto13.1
Teleop74.3
End3.8
blue by 60.2
4130
#17
150.71.0
150.3149.3
Auto17.5
Teleop111.1
End22.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
1%Face the Boss oddsMissed20%Face the Boss oddsMissed