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Red338
4130150.7
27213.3
152895.2
Blue292
548153.6
226156.8
4384153.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions329331200250300350400338292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#3
213.30.8
215.0214.3
Auto25.9
Teleop160.9
End24.9
red by 56.6
226
#9
156.81.0
158.6157.6
Auto19.8
Teleop120.8
End16.2
Second
4130
#17
150.70.0
148.8148.8
Auto17.5
Teleop111.1
End22.8
blue by 3.1
4384
#12
153.80.1
153.9153.8
Auto23.7
Teleop116.6
End11.5
Third
1528
#22
95.20.0
95.695.6
Auto15.3
Teleop75.5
End3.5
blue by 58.4
548
#10
153.60.9
150.1151.0
Auto17.5
Teleop116.2
End19.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned81%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss oddsMissed17%Face the Boss oddsMissed