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Red347
999993.1
1718177.5
3668167.4
Blue270
3414144.1
2834193.8
68152.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2654100100200500600700800347270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.50.1
174.1174.0
Auto20.3
Teleop127.6
End28.2
blue by 16.3
193.81.0
191.3192.3
Auto23.4
Teleop147.1
End25.8
Second
167.40.0
165.8165.8
Auto21.8
Teleop124.6
End22.2
red by 14.8
68
#8
152.60.8
153.5154.3
Auto23.4
Teleop106.0
End21.5
Third
9999
#23
93.10.4
88.689.0
Auto12.0
Teleop74.8
End8.9
blue by 51.1
3414
#18
144.10.3
147.2146.9
Auto16.2
Teleop113.6
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsMissed87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
19%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed