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Red413
999090.5
1504130.0
1718177.5
Blue226
68152.6
3641179.7
152895.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2423570100200300400500600700413226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.50.6
174.0174.6
Auto20.3
Teleop127.6
End28.2
blue by 2.2
179.70.2
179.8180.0
Auto21.6
Teleop141.9
End14.2
Second
1504
#16
130.00.0
127.6127.6
Auto19.6
Teleop99.2
End14.6
blue by 22.6
68
#8
152.60.4
154.3153.9
Auto23.4
Teleop106.0
End21.5
Third
9990
#24
90.51.3
91.089.7
Auto13.1
Teleop74.3
End3.8
blue by 4.7
1528
#22
95.20.3
95.695.9
Auto15.3
Teleop75.5
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed81%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsEarned13%Face the Boss oddsMissed