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Red408
226156.8
3641179.7
4130150.7
Blue223
5577119.3
51149.7
3414144.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3782550100200300500600700408223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.70.5
180.0179.5
Auto21.6
Teleop141.9
End14.2
red by 29.9
51
#11
149.70.5
148.1148.6
Auto18.7
Teleop112.7
End19.0
Second
226
#9
156.80.4
156.8156.4
Auto19.8
Teleop120.8
End16.2
red by 12.6
3414
#18
144.10.9
145.6144.7
Auto16.2
Teleop113.6
End14.5
Third
4130
#17
150.70.5
149.1149.7
Auto17.5
Teleop111.1
End22.8
red by 31.4
5577
#19
119.30.7
120.5119.8
Auto18.0
Teleop95.1
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
19%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed