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Red156
3641179.7
1718177.5
999090.5
Blue399
51149.7
3538206.0
5577119.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2943440200400600800156399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.70.0
179.8179.8
Auto21.6
Teleop141.9
End14.2
blue by 26.3
206.00.2
205.1205.3
Auto20.4
Teleop162.9
End25.7
Second
177.50.1
177.3177.5
Auto20.3
Teleop127.6
End28.2
red by 27.8
51
#11
149.70.2
148.9149.0
Auto18.7
Teleop112.7
End19.0
Third
9990
#24
90.50.1
90.590.6
Auto13.1
Teleop74.3
End3.8
blue by 28.8
5577
#19
119.30.1
119.4119.3
Auto18.0
Teleop95.1
End6.6