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Red298
2713131.8
2876139.4
811143.6
Blue351
5556108.0
4169112.3
125168.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333225100300400500600700298351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
811
#14
143.60.4
141.6141.2
Auto22.2
Teleop106.9
End14.3
blue by 24.8
125
#3
168.41.1
146.8147.9
Auto23.7
Teleop127.9
End15.0
Second
2876
#11
139.40.0
139.1139.1
Auto19.4
Teleop105.4
End11.6
red by 27.1
4169
#23
112.30.5
94.193.6
Auto15.0
Teleop84.5
End13.8
Third
2713
#25
131.811.5
94.9106.5
Auto18.2
Teleop97.9
End16.1
red by 23.7
5556
#37
108.00.5
101.6102.0
Auto16.7
Teleop78.7
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed