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Red175
1058178.4
3205117.0
5556108.0
Blue414
5735156.4
6324121.5
6763146.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312304100200400500175414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.40.1
176.3176.2
Auto17.2
Teleop131.6
End30.1
red by 22.1
156.42.0
148.8150.8
Auto25.0
Teleop117.4
End12.3
Second
3205
#33
117.01.0
114.0115.0
Auto16.8
Teleop87.4
End13.1
blue by 29.0
6763
#13
146.14.6
134.8139.4
Auto18.2
Teleop114.4
End14.0
Third
5556
#37
108.02.2
103.5105.7
Auto16.7
Teleop78.7
End13.6
blue by 13.5
6324
#16
121.50.1
114.4114.3
Auto23.2
Teleop92.3
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed