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Red250
4905155.8
4034116.9
246134.3
Blue449
319190.1
4909145.6
6324121.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2733350100200400500600700800250449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.82.0
135.0137.1
Auto19.7
Teleop102.8
End33.1
blue by 34.3
319
#4
190.11.6
166.8168.5
Auto22.5
Teleop137.8
End29.7
Second
246
#12
134.32.3
124.8127.0
Auto17.7
Teleop100.5
End16.3
blue by 11.3
145.60.2
131.3131.2
Auto15.9
Teleop118.6
End14.8
Third
4034
#34
116.92.3
104.9107.1
Auto13.6
Teleop92.9
End11.9
blue by 4.6
6324
#16
121.50.5
114.3114.8
Auto23.2
Teleop92.3
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed