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Red207
1965125.8
2084136.0
1761103.6
Blue264
4034116.9
4909145.6
5962129.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301290200250350400207264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2084
#30
136.00.4
136.4136.0
Auto15.5
Teleop109.2
End12.4
blue by 9.6
145.62.0
136.4138.4
Auto15.9
Teleop118.6
End14.8
Second
1965
#18
125.85.0
123.4128.4
Auto18.2
Teleop95.2
End13.2
blue by 3.2
5962
#32
129.04.4
122.6127.0
Auto16.1
Teleop97.8
End14.4
Third
1761
#40
103.63.4
101.5104.9
Auto15.6
Teleop82.5
End2.8
blue by 13.3
4034
#34
116.90.1
111.6111.5
Auto13.6
Teleop92.9
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed