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Red204
319190.1
1289130.0
1965125.8
Blue365
6335111.7
246134.3
238205.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334321250300350400204365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#4
190.13.3
175.8179.0
Auto22.5
Teleop137.8
End29.7
blue by 15.7
238
#2
205.82.2
191.7193.9
Auto26.0
Teleop151.1
End29.8
Second
1289
#21
130.00.6
125.0125.6
Auto17.9
Teleop91.0
End20.9
blue by 4.3
246
#12
134.30.2
127.1127.3
Auto17.7
Teleop100.5
End16.3
Third
1965
#18
125.81.5
128.4129.8
Auto18.2
Teleop95.2
End13.2
red by 14.1
6335
#20
111.70.1
107.3107.2
Auto15.0
Teleop90.0
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed