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Red292
5752109.2
5347118.0
2084136.0
Blue151
1761103.6
5962129.0
509142.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267294100200400500600292151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2084
#30
136.01.0
134.7133.7
Auto15.5
Teleop109.2
End12.4
blue by 6.1
509
#15
142.13.0
133.8136.8
Auto15.6
Teleop106.0
End24.4
Second
5347
#28
118.00.6
116.3115.7
Auto14.7
Teleop88.9
End15.0
blue by 11.0
5962
#32
129.00.4
129.1129.5
Auto16.1
Teleop97.8
End14.4
Third
5752
#36
109.21.2
111.7110.5
Auto15.1
Teleop88.2
End9.1
red by 5.6
1761
#40
103.60.5
104.9105.3
Auto15.6
Teleop82.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed