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Red259
2423111.5
4909145.6
4311103.3
Blue393
1289130.0
125168.4
3205117.0
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2563310100200300400500259393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145.60.6
141.0141.5
Auto15.9
Teleop118.6
End14.8
blue by 22.8
125
#3
168.42.1
159.5161.6
Auto23.7
Teleop127.9
End15.0
Second
2423
#29
111.51.6
107.0108.6
Auto12.8
Teleop88.9
End14.1
blue by 18.5
1289
#21
130.00.4
125.3125.7
Auto17.9
Teleop91.0
End20.9
Third
4311
#39
103.31.4
104.9103.5
Auto14.9
Teleop79.2
End8.3
blue by 13.8
3205
#33
117.00.2
114.2114.4
Auto16.8
Teleop87.4
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed