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Red263
2084136.0
6762112.3
509142.1
Blue473
2876139.4
319190.1
1058178.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2204410100300400500600700263473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
509
#15
142.11.3
138.4139.8
Auto15.6
Teleop106.0
End24.4
blue by 48.0
319
#4
190.12.1
183.0185.1
Auto22.5
Teleop137.8
End29.7
Second
2084
#30
136.00.8
133.3134.1
Auto15.5
Teleop109.2
End12.4
blue by 42.5
178.40.6
176.0176.6
Auto17.2
Teleop131.6
End30.1
Third
6762
#38
112.31.9
114.9113.0
Auto16.2
Teleop85.8
End11.6
blue by 27.2
2876
#11
139.40.6
140.8140.2
Auto19.4
Teleop105.4
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed