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Red261
4473121.1
1289130.0
4311103.3
Blue263
1474115.2
2876139.4
5752109.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions298274100150200250350400450500261263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1289
#21
130.00.2
125.8126.0
Auto17.9
Teleop91.0
End20.9
blue by 9.4
2876
#11
139.40.2
138.9139.1
Auto19.4
Teleop105.4
End11.6
Second
4473
#26
121.114.9
84.699.5
Auto17.1
Teleop90.6
End18.5
red by 6.0
1474
#22
115.21.5
107.2105.7
Auto17.3
Teleop83.4
End15.8
Third
4311
#39
103.316.7
68.685.2
Auto14.9
Teleop79.2
End8.3
blue by 5.9
5752
#36
109.28.0
98.2106.2
Auto15.1
Teleop88.2
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsMissed55%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed