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Red418
1289130.0
238205.8
4034116.9
Blue304
4169112.3
4761127.7
133191.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions367332100200300400500600418304

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#2
205.82.3
198.2200.5
Auto26.0
Teleop151.1
End29.8
red by 14.7
133
#1
191.13.5
180.9184.4
Auto24.1
Teleop134.2
End32.3
Second
1289
#21
130.00.8
125.7126.5
Auto17.9
Teleop91.0
End20.9
red by 2.3
4761
#24
127.70.1
127.4127.6
Auto17.7
Teleop92.4
End16.9
Third
4034
#34
116.91.3
114.5115.7
Auto13.6
Teleop92.9
End11.9
red by 4.6
4169
#23
112.32.4
105.8108.2
Auto15.0
Teleop84.5
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed