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Red247
5735156.4
4311103.3
5556108.0
Blue257
1474115.2
1965125.8
6335111.7
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2763020100200400500600247257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.40.4
156.4156.1
Auto25.0
Teleop117.4
End12.3
red by 30.6
1965
#18
125.81.2
127.6126.4
Auto18.2
Teleop95.2
End13.2
Second
5556
#37
108.00.7
109.1108.4
Auto16.7
Teleop78.7
End13.6
blue by 7.1
1474
#22
115.22.4
110.4112.8
Auto17.3
Teleop83.4
End15.8
Third
4311
#39
103.30.3
103.5103.3
Auto14.9
Teleop79.2
End8.3
blue by 8.4
6335
#20
111.71.2
108.5109.8
Auto15.0
Teleop90.0
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed