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Red231
5347118.0
4761127.7
2876139.4
Blue370
1289130.0
7240111.3
4909145.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions298322100200400500231370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2876
#11
139.40.4
140.2139.8
Auto19.4
Teleop105.4
End11.6
blue by 6.2
145.62.0
142.3144.2
Auto15.9
Teleop118.6
End14.8
Second
4761
#24
127.70.2
127.6127.8
Auto17.7
Teleop92.4
End16.9
blue by 2.3
1289
#21
130.00.8
126.5127.3
Auto17.9
Teleop91.0
End20.9
Third
5347
#28
118.00.4
117.6118.0
Auto14.7
Teleop88.9
End15.0
red by 6.7
7240
#31
111.30.9
110.3111.3
Auto14.2
Teleop87.4
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed