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Red286
2084136.0
5735156.4
4169112.3
Blue337
6335111.7
1058178.4
4473121.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318312250300350400450286337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.40.1
156.1155.9
Auto25.0
Teleop117.4
End12.3
blue by 22.1
178.40.5
176.6177.2
Auto17.2
Teleop131.6
End30.1
Second
2084
#30
136.01.0
134.1135.1
Auto15.5
Teleop109.2
End12.4
red by 14.8
4473
#26
121.10.7
120.4121.1
Auto17.1
Teleop90.6
End18.5
Third
4169
#23
112.32.0
108.2110.2
Auto15.0
Teleop84.5
End13.8
red by 0.7
6335
#20
111.71.1
109.8110.9
Auto15.0
Teleop90.0
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned