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Red367
78167.1
1519153.8
3466113.1
Blue616
4564175.2
88154.3
3623135.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299376100200500600367616

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#8
167.10.8
165.4166.2
Auto22.7
Teleop119.3
End27.3
blue by 8.1
175.20.3
174.6174.9
Auto24.4
Teleop129.8
End21.9
Second
153.80.5
152.8153.3
Auto20.2
Teleop114.9
End20.0
blue by 0.4
88
#3
154.30.8
152.8153.6
Auto21.3
Teleop120.3
End14.1
Third
3466
#24
113.10.4
112.2112.6
Auto15.9
Teleop88.0
End10.4
blue by 22.1
3623
#21
135.10.0
135.2135.2
Auto15.3
Teleop105.2
End16.5