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Red196
467120.6
6329144.8
4987115.1
Blue207
7164128.5
2370155.1
1729124.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29424805001,0001,5002,000196207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144.814.1
91.9106.0
Auto21.6
Teleop108.0
End15.8
blue by 10.3
155.114.3
89.7104.0
Auto22.6
Teleop111.8
End19.0
Second
467
#19
120.614.8
85.099.9
Auto18.8
Teleop97.3
End8.0
blue by 7.9
7164
#28
128.542.5
120.377.7
Auto17.4
Teleop96.7
End16.9
Third
4987
#31
115.116.7
68.084.7
Auto19.9
Teleop89.6
End7.7
blue by 9.8
124.90.6
108.0107.4
Auto16.7
Teleop103.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed