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Red238
172122.9
6329144.8
88154.3
Blue71
3719114.1
1729124.9
4048133.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310260020040060080023871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#3
154.38.3
113.6121.9
Auto21.3
Teleop120.3
End14.1
red by 20.6
4048
#34
133.75.9
114.9120.7
Auto16.7
Teleop98.3
End16.1
Second
144.87.5
114.1121.6
Auto21.6
Teleop108.0
End15.8
red by 19.9
124.90.2
106.3106.5
Auto16.7
Teleop103.7
End4.1
Third
172
#30
122.91.7
120.4122.0
Auto16.2
Teleop93.9
End12.2
red by 8.8
3719
#36
114.15.5
116.5121.9
Auto14.6
Teleop88.0
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed