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Red295
663158.0
3566123.6
6723109.6
Blue278
7164128.5
7259111.7
3555146.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29726902004006008001,0001,2001,400295278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
663
#4
158.06.0
116.8122.7
Auto17.9
Teleop119.6
End21.1
red by 11.4
3555
#15
146.68.7
104.2112.9
Auto16.0
Teleop109.0
End23.5
Second
3566
#32
123.66.7
110.6117.3
Auto17.8
Teleop100.2
End1.9
blue by 4.9
7164
#28
128.58.0
99.0107.0
Auto17.4
Teleop96.7
End16.9
Third
6723
#40
109.62.1
105.3107.4
Auto14.2
Teleop82.3
End16.4
blue by 2.1
7259
#37
111.75.0
96.3101.3
Auto17.4
Teleop84.7
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed