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Red177
716126.0
61163.2
3719114.1
Blue403
4564175.2
1100132.8
1519153.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2583360100200300400500600700177403

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61
#7
163.27.9
119.3127.2
Auto21.8
Teleop116.8
End25.7
blue by 11.9
175.27.0
143.5150.5
Auto24.4
Teleop129.8
End21.9
Second
716
#23
126.04.0
114.5118.5
Auto18.1
Teleop96.1
End12.1
blue by 27.8
153.80.2
133.6133.4
Auto20.2
Teleop114.9
End20.0
Third
3719
#36
114.10.3
121.9122.2
Auto14.6
Teleop88.0
End13.3
blue by 18.7
1100
#11
132.83.3
121.8125.1
Auto18.6
Teleop104.1
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed