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Red316
3566123.6
1991115.0
2370155.1
Blue277
1100132.8
5735143.5
7164128.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3133020100200400500600700800316277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.16.4
128.7135.1
Auto22.6
Teleop111.8
End19.0
red by 11.6
5735
#13
143.54.0
121.6125.6
Auto20.9
Teleop107.2
End19.1
Second
3566
#32
123.65.4
117.3122.6
Auto17.8
Teleop100.2
End1.9
blue by 9.2
1100
#11
132.84.6
125.1129.7
Auto18.6
Teleop104.1
End11.9
Third
1991
#25
115.02.9
123.4126.2
Auto15.9
Teleop90.2
End8.3
blue by 13.5
7164
#28
128.57.3
107.0114.3
Auto17.4
Teleop96.7
End16.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed