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Red182
1350128.3
3466113.1
4042107.9
Blue355
5494128.0
4048133.7
172122.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions257258150200300350182355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1350
#29
128.32.5
127.6130.2
Auto16.2
Teleop95.1
End14.1
blue by 5.4
4048
#34
133.71.2
121.3122.5
Auto16.7
Teleop98.3
End16.1
Second
3466
#24
113.10.4
99.7100.1
Auto15.9
Teleop88.0
End10.4
blue by 14.9
5494
#20
128.03.6
100.8104.3
Auto13.6
Teleop101.8
End15.1
Third
4042
#26
107.95.1
100.6105.8
Auto16.6
Teleop85.6
End4.2
blue by 15.0
172
#30
122.91.2
121.9120.7
Auto16.2
Teleop93.9
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed