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Red258
126124.7
3555146.6
1519153.8
Blue353
2370155.1
3623135.1
3236139.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions270338100200300400500600258353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.82.1
135.2137.3
Auto20.2
Teleop114.9
End20.0
blue by 1.3
155.13.3
135.1138.4
Auto22.6
Teleop111.8
End19.0
Second
3555
#15
146.66.2
120.7127.0
Auto16.0
Teleop109.0
End23.5
red by 7.4
3236
#16
139.32.1
126.6128.7
Auto18.5
Teleop103.4
End21.2
Third
126
#27
124.70.6
124.3123.7
Auto16.9
Teleop94.7
End16.6
blue by 10.4
3623
#21
135.13.5
129.8133.3
Auto15.3
Teleop105.2
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed