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Red375
4564175.2
213134.5
5494128.0
Blue251
3236139.3
4905130.8
1786108.1
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions350239100200300400500600375251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.24.3
163.3167.6
Auto24.4
Teleop129.8
End21.9
red by 35.9
3236
#16
139.32.6
128.7131.3
Auto18.5
Teleop103.4
End21.2
Second
213
#18
134.50.8
126.8127.6
Auto18.6
Teleop98.2
End20.8
red by 3.7
4905
#10
130.80.8
124.1123.2
Auto18.5
Teleop90.4
End26.7
Third
5494
#20
128.04.0
109.6113.6
Auto13.6
Teleop101.8
End15.1
red by 19.8
1786
#39
108.12.3
104.7106.9
Auto15.7
Teleop88.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed