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Red193
2262117.5
172122.9
7164128.5
Blue232
213134.5
3466113.1
1831130.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304256100200400500193232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7164
#28
128.53.8
119.4123.2
Auto17.4
Teleop96.7
End16.9
blue by 6.0
213
#18
134.51.8
127.6129.4
Auto18.6
Teleop98.2
End20.8
Second
172
#30
122.90.3
123.5123.1
Auto16.2
Teleop93.9
End12.2
blue by 7.7
1831
#33
130.61.5
127.8126.3
Auto15.2
Teleop99.9
End14.8
Third
2262
#14
117.52.0
110.9113.0
Auto16.2
Teleop92.1
End9.3
red by 4.4
3466
#24
113.12.2
98.9101.2
Auto15.9
Teleop88.0
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed