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Red187
4564175.2
1786108.1
278596.9
Blue356
2370155.1
467120.6
1153137.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2963050100200400500600187356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.24.1
167.6171.7
Auto24.4
Teleop129.8
End21.9
red by 20.0
155.13.8
142.5146.2
Auto22.6
Teleop111.8
End19.0
Second
1786
#39
108.11.9
106.9108.8
Auto15.7
Teleop88.8
End3.5
blue by 29.2
1153
#12
137.40.6
132.9133.5
Auto16.7
Teleop104.6
End18.5
Third
2785
#41
96.91.4
106.5105.1
Auto15.6
Teleop69.2
End7.9
blue by 23.7
467
#19
120.61.0
116.2115.2
Auto18.8
Teleop97.3
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed