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Red356
6329144.8
2370155.1
5491103.3
Blue158
1768119.9
3236139.3
1350128.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions319272100200400500600356158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.13.7
146.2149.9
Auto22.6
Teleop111.8
End19.0
red by 15.8
3236
#16
139.31.4
133.3134.8
Auto18.5
Teleop103.4
End21.2
Second
144.82.3
135.3137.7
Auto21.6
Teleop108.0
End15.8
red by 16.5
1350
#29
128.30.1
133.0133.0
Auto16.2
Teleop95.1
End14.1
Third
5491
#35
103.30.2
101.6101.9
Auto13.2
Teleop78.7
End14.6
blue by 16.6
1768
#22
119.92.7
126.5123.8
Auto16.8
Teleop92.1
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed