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Red103
1277102.2
7164128.5
278596.9
Blue409
88154.3
1768119.9
716126.0
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2043520100300400500600103409

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7164
#28
128.51.8
125.3127.1
Auto17.4
Teleop96.7
End16.9
blue by 25.7
88
#3
154.34.7
137.7142.4
Auto21.3
Teleop120.3
End14.1
Second
1277
#38
102.20.6
103.7103.1
Auto13.3
Teleop80.0
End10.1
blue by 23.9
716
#23
126.00.1
123.0123.1
Auto18.1
Teleop96.1
End12.1
Third
2785
#41
96.92.5
103.4101.0
Auto15.6
Teleop69.2
End7.9
blue by 23.0
1768
#22
119.93.0
123.8120.8
Auto16.8
Teleop92.1
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed