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Red215
126124.7
4987115.1
213134.5
Blue325
467120.6
663158.0
278596.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289304100200400500215325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
213
#18
134.50.6
133.6134.2
Auto18.6
Teleop98.2
End20.8
blue by 23.5
663
#4
158.02.6
151.9154.5
Auto17.9
Teleop119.6
End21.1
Second
126
#27
124.70.6
124.0124.7
Auto16.9
Teleop94.7
End16.6
red by 4.0
467
#19
120.61.6
118.2119.8
Auto18.8
Teleop97.3
End8.0
Third
4987
#31
115.11.1
114.0115.1
Auto19.9
Teleop89.6
End7.7
red by 18.2
2785
#41
96.92.0
98.996.9
Auto15.6
Teleop69.2
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed