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Red382
78167.1
1519153.8
3466113.1
Blue257
6329144.8
663158.0
3555146.6
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305368100200400500600382257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#8
167.10.9
164.5165.4
Auto22.7
Teleop119.3
End27.3
red by 9.1
663
#4
158.00.7
157.3158.0
Auto17.9
Teleop119.6
End21.1
Second
153.80.5
152.3152.8
Auto20.2
Teleop114.9
End20.0
red by 7.2
3555
#15
146.60.4
146.2146.6
Auto16.0
Teleop109.0
End23.5
Third
3466
#24
113.10.4
111.8112.2
Auto15.9
Teleop88.0
End10.4
blue by 31.7
144.80.4
144.4144.8
Auto21.6
Teleop108.0
End15.8