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Red313
3236139.3
1100132.8
3719114.1
Blue379
4564175.2
88154.3
3623135.1
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions227396100300500600700313379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3236
#16
139.30.6
138.0138.6
Auto18.5
Teleop103.4
End21.2
blue by 35.9
175.20.3
173.9174.3
Auto24.4
Teleop129.8
End21.9
Second
1100
#11
132.80.4
131.9132.3
Auto18.6
Teleop104.1
End11.9
blue by 21.5
88
#3
154.30.9
151.1152.0
Auto21.3
Teleop120.3
End14.1
Third
3719
#36
114.10.2
114.4114.2
Auto14.6
Teleop88.0
End13.3
blue by 21.1
3623
#21
135.10.1
135.3135.2
Auto15.3
Teleop105.2
End16.5