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Red221
4099138.4
2849123.7
2377170.7
Blue247
5830115.0
4242143.9
614156.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3183100100200400500600700800221247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.70.8
166.6167.4
Auto20.0
Teleop121.5
End29.9
red by 14.0
614
#9
156.70.6
156.5155.9
Auto19.8
Teleop122.4
End14.6
Second
4099
#20
138.40.1
137.1137.2
Auto20.0
Teleop107.1
End10.9
blue by 5.5
4242
#17
143.91.1
147.6146.5
Auto18.4
Teleop108.5
End15.7
Third
2849
#28
123.72.7
131.7129.0
Auto17.9
Teleop96.7
End5.9
red by 8.8
115.01.5
111.4112.9
Auto14.1
Teleop94.0
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed