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Qual 32018 Battle O’ Baltimore
Red412
3941140.9
686130.4
5830115.0
Blue236
2537163.9
5115127.7
999997.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27532602004006008001,0001,2001,400412236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3941
#10
140.90.3
139.6→140.0
Auto15.5
Teleop110.0
End12.5
blue by 23.0
2537
#12
163.90.8
166.9→167.7
Auto22.0
Teleop120.9
End22.4
Second
686
#2
130.41.6
114.7→116.2
Auto23.7
Teleop97.0
End9.4
red by 2.7
5115
#23
127.70.6
136.7→136.1
Auto18.4
Teleop94.7
End13.4
Third
5830
#6
115.00.3
109.6→109.9
Auto14.1
Teleop94.0
End6.1
red by 17.3
9999
#24
97.61.5
93.1→94.6
Auto10.6
Teleop77.7
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed