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Semifinal 2-22018 Battle O’ Baltimore
Red311
1629208.3
686130.4
3389124.7
Blue301
2534150.5
384178.4
4505126.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3433040100200400500600700311301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
#8
208.30.4
209.8→209.4
Auto25.5
Teleop159.2
End21.9
red by 29.9
384
#3
178.40.1
178.5→178.4
Auto20.0
Teleop137.2
End20.4
Second
686
#2
130.40.3
129.4→129.7
Auto23.7
Teleop97.0
End9.4
blue by 20.1
2534
#5
150.50.2
150.8→150.6
Auto19.0
Teleop115.2
End15.2
Third
3389
#21
124.70.3
125.9→125.6
Auto16.1
Teleop91.5
End16.2
blue by 1.9
4505
#25
126.60.3
127.1→126.8
Auto15.7
Teleop100.5
End10.3