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Red380
4472181.2
1629203.4
1727128.9
Blue309
614154.1
836162.9
6326119.1
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424290100200500600700380309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.40.5
202.0202.5
Auto25.4
Teleop150.7
End27.8
red by 40.5
836
#4
162.90.4
161.7162.1
Auto20.7
Teleop122.4
End21.0
Second
181.20.3
180.4180.7
Auto23.6
Teleop133.1
End24.9
red by 27.1
614
#23
154.10.3
153.3153.6
Auto18.8
Teleop119.8
End17.5
Third
1727
#34
128.90.3
129.8129.5
Auto15.7
Teleop91.3
End19.8
red by 9.8
6326
#35
119.10.4
117.9118.3
Auto15.6
Teleop92.0
End13.8