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Red195
4099134.0
3748101.1
6584111.7
Blue458
686114.7
2377181.1
836162.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2033770100300500600700195458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
134.00.5
127.3127.7
Auto18.0
Teleop107.7
End9.7
blue by 47.1
2377
#10
181.10.7
166.6167.2
Auto20.8
Teleop133.0
End31.2
Second
6584
#27
111.70.4
113.9113.5
Auto16.3
Teleop80.0
End16.5
blue by 51.2
836
#4
162.90.2
152.1152.4
Auto20.7
Teleop122.4
End21.0
Third
3748
#30
101.10.0
91.891.8
Auto13.6
Teleop76.1
End13.8
blue by 13.6
686
#6
114.70.8
98.499.2
Auto20.0
Teleop88.2
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed