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Red303
3389134.2
5243130.5
339148.5
Blue175
6213106.9
3650112.1
2964111.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3542110100300400500600700303175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
339
#18
148.51.0
146.7145.7
Auto19.6
Teleop107.7
End23.4
red by 36.4
3650
#38
112.10.0
113.8113.8
Auto13.0
Teleop81.0
End21.3
Second
3389
#14
134.20.0
126.0126.1
Auto16.1
Teleop98.9
End20.2
red by 22.9
2964
#25
111.30.8
105.1105.9
Auto18.0
Teleop82.8
End13.0
Third
130.51.0
119.2120.2
Auto19.8
Teleop102.5
End9.1
red by 23.6
6213
#28
106.90.2
103.4103.2
Auto16.0
Teleop79.8
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed