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Red456
2537166.1
6239121.8
1629203.4
Blue331
836162.9
3941139.6
6584111.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362255100200300400500600456331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.41.3
181.2182.4
Auto25.4
Teleop150.7
End27.8
red by 40.5
836
#4
162.91.2
152.4153.6
Auto20.7
Teleop122.4
End21.0
Second
166.10.9
158.4157.5
Auto22.7
Teleop125.6
End17.7
red by 26.4
3941
#22
139.61.4
134.1132.8
Auto16.2
Teleop107.8
End16.0
Third
6239
#21
121.80.4
113.5113.1
Auto14.6
Teleop87.6
End22.9
red by 10.1
6584
#27
111.70.4
113.5113.0
Auto16.3
Teleop80.0
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned28%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed