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Red415
4472181.2
2988107.1
686114.7
Blue192
6326119.1
2964111.3
2421139.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301285100150200250350400450415192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181.20.7
171.0171.7
Auto23.6
Teleop133.1
End24.9
red by 42.0
2421
#31
139.21.4
150.0148.6
Auto16.2
Teleop103.8
End19.5
Second
686
#6
114.71.4
102.4103.8
Auto20.0
Teleop88.2
End9.2
blue by 4.4
6326
#35
119.11.3
122.1120.8
Auto15.6
Teleop92.0
End13.8
Third
2988
#37
107.11.6
111.1109.5
Auto15.1
Teleop88.2
End4.4
blue by 4.3
2964
#25
111.30.8
107.9108.7
Auto18.0
Teleop82.8
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsEarned42%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed