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Red250
3748101.1
686390.2
3650112.1
Blue391
6505105.4
1629203.4
3941139.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1434170100200300500600700800250391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3650
#38
112.11.3
113.1111.8
Auto13.0
Teleop81.0
End21.3
blue by 91.3
203.41.7
186.7188.5
Auto25.4
Teleop150.7
End27.8
Second
3748
#30
101.11.5
91.593.0
Auto13.6
Teleop76.1
End13.8
blue by 38.6
3941
#22
139.60.5
130.9131.4
Auto16.2
Teleop107.8
End16.0
Third
6863
#32
90.21.1
90.989.8
Auto17.0
Teleop69.8
End7.8
blue by 15.2
6505
#17
105.41.4
101.6103.0
Auto17.3
Teleop78.1
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed79%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed